Supertrend + EMA200
Claimed ~46%. Measured 40.04%. Needed after costs 41.10%: below break-even in this simulation under stated costs.
Getestet · Six frozen historical tests
6 viral strategies tested
5 of 6 below break-even after costs in this simulation under stated costs.
| Strategy | Claimed | Measured | Needed after costs | Verdict in this simulation under stated costs |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Supertrend + EMA200 | ~46% | 40.04% | 41.10% | below break-even |
| RSI + Supertrend | ~45% | 40.14% | 41.05% | below break-even |
| RSI + ADX | ~36% | 39.70% | 41.53% | below break-even |
| Donchian + SMA200 | ~58% | 41.76% | 41.12% | above break-even |
| SMA crossover | ~48% | 40.18% | 42.38% | below break-even |
| Keltner breakout | ~49% | 39.56% | 42.13% | below break-even |
Each row links its recorded RESULTS.md. Source and frozen tests are different experiments, not a judgment about an author. No future trading result is implied.
Dukascopy H1 Bid, EURUSD and EURJPY, 2017-01-02 to 2026-06-26. Fixed spreads: 1.0 and 1.2 pips. Commission: $7 per lot round trip. EURJPY conversion: fixed USDJPY 140. Out-of-sample exits begin at 2024-01-01, UTC+02:00. Next-bar model fills are not observed broker execution or a forecast.
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Seven pages as a PDF and as separate PNGs. Each test page links its source, full case study and recorded RESULTS.md.
RSI + Supertrend
Claimed ~45%. Measured 40.14%. Needed after costs 41.05%: below break-even in this simulation under stated costs.
RSI + ADX
Claimed ~36%. Measured 39.70%. Needed after costs 41.53%: below break-even in this simulation under stated costs.
Donchian + SMA200
Claimed ~58%. Measured 41.76%. Needed after costs 41.12%: above break-even in this simulation under stated costs.
SMA crossover
Claimed ~48%. Measured 40.18%. Needed after costs 42.38%: below break-even in this simulation under stated costs.
Keltner breakout
Claimed ~49%. Measured 39.56%. Needed after costs 42.13%: below break-even in this simulation under stated costs.
